The reason why the new Omicron variant is “more contagious” is because it can infect people even if they’re vaccinated. The variant’s mortality rate is deemed higher than influenza, said chief expert from Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, noting that if the Western world fully opens, it will exert great pressure on China. It remains unknown how China will cope with that change, he said.
In an interview published on Saturday, Wu Zunyou, CDC chief expert, said that the world still has limited understanding about the new variant. Vaccines have very limited effect on Omicron, apart from preventing severe symptoms, said Wu.
Omicron is unlikely to be the last variant the world will see of this pandemic, Wu said, adding that COVID-19 could become another flu, as many have predicted, as mortality rate of the variant is higher than influenza. Moreover, influenza affect mainly throat, while coronavirus causes lower respiratory tract diseases, affecting lungs and other organs.
As China faces another round of flare-ups with both the Delta and Omicron variants, Wu said that the situation is similar as that of the winter of 2020, as the disease is more likely to spread in winter.
The flare-ups are caused by imported cases, as the surging cases outside China increase the difficulties and risks for China to prevent cases coming from abroad, Wu said.
He said that some Western countries were failing to control the spreading, said that countries such as the US and the UK do not put travel restrictions which raised the risk of spreading Omicron across the world.
Wu said that most of the imported COVID-19 cases in China come from the US. Although the new variant was discovered in southern Africa, countries such as the US and the UK are the “amplifiers” in spreading the virus.
The expert said it is necessary to adjust COVID-19 prevention policies, yet when and how are unclear, because there is no “deadly blow” measure against the virus. For example, there is no vaccine or medicine that can control the infection once and for all.
When asked whether it is possible for China to open borders in 2022, Wu said that past experience says that when vaccination rate reaches a certain point, herd immunity forms, then the borders could be opened. Yet such understanding was challenged by Omicron, which proved that the vaccines are incapable of fending off the new variant.
He noted that Western countries have high tolerance toward the virus, yet for China it is hard to say, as the country adopts very different policy that is named dynamic zero-COVID.
Further analysis and observations are needed about whether it is suitable, when and how to open the borders, said the epidemiologist.
Some scientists from Western countries believe COVID-19 policies can be loosened after 2022 spring. Wu said it is possible for those countries, as loosen or not it does not affect them much. Yet when they are fully opened, China will face greater pressure, and further studies are needed on how China will cope with such changes.
Wu Zunyou, China’s CDC chief epidemiologist Photo: cnsphoto
