China should prepare for more pressure from the US after it attracted South Korean semiconductor giant Samsung to build a plant in Texas, as Samsung might be forced to stop exporting talents and high-end technologies to China, experts said, although they don’t think a complete decoupling between Chinese and South Korean chip industries will happen.
Samsung is the world’s largest memory chip producer and also has vast business prospects in China. It has reportedly decided to build a new semiconductor manufacturing facility in Texas equipped with 5nm manufacturing lines. The facility will be responsible for creating the company’s cutting-edge chipsets.
The company’s decision comes as the US government hastily beckons global semiconductor giants to form an alliance in the face of China’s chip industry rise in recent years. With this background, Samsung, with its advantages in manufacturing capacities, design abilities and talent, must be a firm that the US hopes to draw in, experts said.
According to a report by South Korean news portal Business Korea, executives from Samsung, SK and two other large South Korean business groups will accompany South Korean President Moon Jae-in on a five-day trip to the US starting Friday, during which Moon will meet US president Joe Biden and discuss issues including semiconductor cooperation.
The four companies in total will invest more than 40 trillion won ($35.5 billion) in the US, the report said. The aforementioned Samsung plant in Texas, which will cost about $17 billion, is one of the main projects. SK Innovation also announced on Friday it will build an electric battery joint venture with US car giant Ford worth about 3 trillion won.
US companies have also asked Moon to release Samsung chair Lee Jae-yong from prison, arguing that he could boost Joe Biden’s efforts to shake off American dependence on computer chips produced overseas, according to a Financial Times report.
The cooperation reflects ‘urgency’ on the side of the US to draw in, or even control the world’s semiconductor giants by forming a global chip alliance in order to prevent China’s rise in the high-end semiconductor industry, experts said.
As such, Samsung and other South Korean companies are “walking on a tightrope” between China and the US, and will likely face tougher situations filled with pressure from the US to curb China’s semiconductor rise, they said.
“For example, it’s possible that the US government will order Samsung’s US plant to not export core technologies or talent to Chinese companies, although such orders might not be explicitly expressed like they were during the Trump era,” Zhang Xiaorong, director of the Cutting-Edge Technology Research Institute, told the Global Times on Friday.
Having Samsung and other global semiconductor production giants’ plants in the US will give the US an edge in pricing semiconductor products, which might in turn cause China to spend more on purchasing semiconductor components, Zhang said.
Independent tech analyst Fu Liang also noted that the US’ partnership with South Korea in enhancing chip industry competence means China will likely face more fierce competition from external markets. To address such possibilities, China should make preparations in case it lags behind in this high-tech contest.
“China should prepare for the fact that obtaining technologies and products will be harder once they are all manufactured in the US,” Fu told the Global Times.
Complete decoupling unlikely
However, experts stressed that a complete decoupling between Chinese and South Korean companies is unlikely, as China’s huge market is of great appeal to South Korean companies despite US pressure.
“The US wants to curb China’s high-end technological rise, not the Chinese market. When it comes to China buying finished products, they won’t say no,” Zhang said.
He added that because the pandemic still threatens the troubling US economy, the US is unlikely to exert extreme pressure on China by completely stopping overseas chip companies from supplying to Chinese firms.
Fu also said that South Korean companies won’t bend easily to US pressure if their economic interests are severely harmed by the US’ arbitrary crackdown on Chinese firms.
“For Samsung, exploring the US market is one thing, but accessing China’s market is another. It won’t give up on either of them,” Fu told the Global Times.
But he cautioned that in the face of the US’ strengthened input in semiconductor investment and preventive attitude toward China, China should not only increase investment in chip research, but also make long-term plans, like for three or five years, to direct domestic industries away from relying on US supplies, as well as form a local IT infrastructure system.
Samsung. Photo: VCG
