—Prem Sagar Poudel
The world’s attention could be attracted after the Modi became Prime Minister of India very effectively and strongly. In this circumstances, India’s Lok Sabha election is the most interested matter for the world as well. On 29th April, 2019 there will be held the Lok Sabha election in 9 states for 71 seats in India. 943 candidates will compete in 9 states in this phase election.
BJP had got 63% vote in 2014 election of Lok Sabha election in these 9 states. In this time, BJP has the challenge to save his face and Congress is worry to face the prestige and how to raise their influence in these states. In 2014 Lok Sabha election BJP had secured 45 seats out of 71 and on the other hand Congress had won 2 seats only.
33% candidates are millionaires and 23% candidates are accused to involve in crimes, such candidates are competing in this election to 9 states for 71 seats and here surface study:
Uttar Pradesh: 13 seats (ShahJahaPur, Khiri, Hardoi, Mishrikh, Unnav, Farrukhabad, Itawa, Kannouj, Kanpur, Akabarpur, Jaloun, Jhanshi, and Hamirpur) Except Kannouj all the seats won by BJP in 2014 election. Though nearly all the seats won by BJP these zones are fully control by BSP and SP. From observing 2014 election BJP has to compete hard in 7 seats out of 13. Two candidates of Congress are the headache of BJP in Kanpur candidate Shree Prakash Jayaswal and Farrukhabad candidate Salmlan Khurshod. BJP candidate Subat Pathak has the challeng to defeat the SP chairman Akhilesh’s wife Mrs. Dimpal Yadav in Kannouj. Congress doesn’t raise any candidate in Kannouj. BJP candidate Satyadev Pachauri has the hard competition to influencive leader Shree Prakash Jayaswal in Kanpur.
Bihar: 5 seats (Darbhanga, Ujiyarpur, Samastipur, Begusaray, and Muger) In last election 2014 BJP secured 3 seats and LJP secured 2 seats. Muslim and Yadav group has the control on Darbhanga and Samastipur. Samastipur is the fort of LJP leader Ram Chandra Paswan. BJP is weaker than previous election in Darbhanga. Last elected candidate Kirti Ajad from BJP now supporting Congress this time. Begusaray is in most talked election zone in this election due to BJP candidate Giriraj Singh. In this zone Muslim votes will be final. Likewise, all the activist from India are requesting and supporting Kanhaiya Kumar campaigning “Choose son, Not Leader”
West Bangal: 8 seats (Baharampur, KrishnaNagar, Ranaghat, Bardhaman, East Bardhaman Durgapur, Aasansol, Bolpur and Beerbhum) Except Asansol all the seats won by TMC in 2014 election in this state. Sometime ago people lost their money in ‘cheat fund’ as a result in TMC there is dispute inside the TMC party and possibility of revolt. There is not effective influence of opposition party’s candidates of TMC as well. Central Minister Babul Supriyo will compete from Aasanmol. Babul Supriyo tries to won the election on the medium of filmy dialogue and filmy songs. He got praise and support on the election publicity time as well. Around one month ago sectarian violence and the statement of Mamata Benarji provide him benefit in this election too. Well-known actress Moonmoon Sen is the candidate of Asanmol though she lost election of 2014. Actress Moonmoon Sen taking selfie with voters and influence them and publicity through filmy style of her election.
Rajasthan: 13 seats (Tok-Sawai Madhopur, Ajmer, Pali, Jodhpur, Banswada, Chittoudghadh, Rajsamanda, Bhilwada, Kota, Jhalawad Waran, Jalour, Udayapur and Wadmer) BJP has full control over all the 13 seats of Rajastha. All the seats of Rajasthan has secured by BJP in the last election of 2014. There will be hard competition between CM Gahalot and former CM Basundhara seats this time. Dubyanta Singh son of Basundhara wants to win election from Jhalawad Waran again and Royal family’s Diya Kumari is electing from BJP in Rajsamanda seats. Bhaibhav Gahalot son of CM Ashok Gahalot is the candidate from Congress and compete with Central State Minister Gajendra Sherawat. In Bademer, BJP candidate Kailash Chaudhary and BJP revolt candidate Manbendra Singh will compete in this election and the assumption is high and hard competition between them. Manbendra Singh is the son of former BJP leader Jashwanta Singh.
Maharashtra: 17 seats (Nandurbar, Ghule, Dindori, Nasik, Palghar, Bhiwandi, Kalyan, Thane, Mumbai North, Mumbai North-East, Mumbai North-Central, Mumbai South, Mawal, Shirur, Shirdi) In 2014 election 8/8 seats won by BJP and Sivasena in Maharashtra. BJP and Sivasena occupy all the seats of Maharashtra. Congress as well tries hard to return their public support. NCP Chairman Sharad Pawar son Parth Pawar has given his nomination from Mawal election zone. For Mumbai North seat famous actress Urmila Matodkar from Congress and BJP candidate Gopal Shetti will compete in the election. Gujrati speakers in Mumbai North will support BJP who are in majority. Although Urmila Matodkar has worked hard week long and the fovour of people will be turned on her, it is beleived. Former Central Minister Milinda Dewada is the candidate from Mumbai South seat from Congress. His father Murali Dewada has won the same seat and becam MP. But Milinda Dewada couldn’t secure this seat in the last election of 2014 and defeated by Sivasena. And this time Mukesh Ambani shared video message for the support of Milinda Dewada though the victory of Milinda Dewada is remain very low possibility. From Mumbai North-Central seat the hard competition will be between BJP MP Poonam Mahajan and Congress candidate Priya Danta. Muslim and Marathi votes will be final in this zone for the victory. In 2014 election Poonam Mahajan defeated to Priya Danta.
Madhya Pradesh: 6 seats (Sidhi, Sahadol, Jawalpur, Mandala, Balaghat, and Chhindawada) In the last election of 2014, except Chhindawada, all the seats secured by BJP in Madhya Pradesh. But recent election of Legislator Assembly election and formed govermnent of Congress got full confidence as their victory in these zones and Central Congress also tries their best. Likewise, hometown of Kamalnath, his son Nakul also will compete in election from Chhindawada. CM Kamalnath also compete in Sub-Lagislator Assembly election from this election zone. In this seat, Kamalnath’s position is very strong.
Jharkhanda: 3 seats (Chatara, Lohardanga, and Palamu)
Odisha: 6 seats (Mayurgunj, Balasor, Bhadrak, Jajpur, Kendrapada, and JagatSinghPur)
In these two states as well will be held fourth phase election. It is believed that in both states BJP has clear majority. This report is prepared with the help of Mr. Pratap Bhanu, Senior Journalist Ananda Kshetri.
