Prem Sagar Poudel
Lok Shabha Election: After publishing election schedule on March 10, 2019 by Election Commission for 2019, which is running for 543 seats at this moment, and the result of this election will be announced on May 23, 2019.
First phase election on 11 April, 2019 of Lok Shabha election has completed. 8 states and 2 central governments ruled province’s 91 seats have been competition by 1275 candidates, in which 559 single party, 89 female and 37 seats are very sensitive. In 2014 in these states for 91 seats BJP has won 35% (32 seats), 8% (7 seats) by Congress. Now, on the first phase election on 11 April, 2019 there are 4 seats election of Bidhan Sabha happened as well.
Before the 36 hour of the first phase election in Chhatisghadh’s Dantewada Naxalist attacked BJP lagislator Bhima Mandavi and shot in his bullet proof vehicle on 9 April, 2019 at 5:30 in the evening. Likewise in Kistawada in Jammu Kashmir a terrorist who wear Burka had shot to RSS leader Chandrakant Sharma and his security guard both were dead on the spot. Except these, almost the election held in peaceful environment.
The main competition held between Pawan Chamling’s SDF party and main opposition party SKM in Sikkim. Likewise, Sikkim Republican Party, Hamro Sikkim Party, SNPP, Congress, BJP and some independent candidates are in competition. It is speculated that Chief Minister Pawan Chamling’s party SDF has got majority.
Likewise, on 18 April, 2019 the second phase election for Lok Sabha had held. For second phase election will be held in 13 states for 97 seats.
Jammu Kashmir: Two seats in Jammu Kashmir as Shree Nagar and Udhampur. BJP’s condition is very good in Udhampur. Central Minister Jitendra Singh is also in this election compaign.BJP has given candidature of impressive personality Khalid Jahagir for the seat of Shree Nagar.
Bihar: Number of seat 5, (Kishangunj, katihar, Purniya, Bhagalpur and Banka), in these five seats JDU had campaigning on the side of NDA. On the side of alignment of Congress and RJD 3 and 2 seats in Bihar. In 2014’s election four seats were won by Alignment and one seat of Purniya won by RJD. By observing social synchronization, these areas are containing Muslim majority. On the rest seats BJP’s revolters candidate one must have to face. Congress JDU and Aubaisi’s party has in hard competition in Kishangunj, this time Congress candidate Udaya Singh is in Purniya, who was BJP’s candidate in 2014.
Uttar Pradesh: 8 seats (Nagina, Amroha, Bulandarahar, Hathrash, Mathura, Agara, Fatehpur, Sikari)
In this time, except two seats there will be hard competition to Mayawati vs Modi. These all seats are in the favor of BJP. SP in Hathras and RLD in Mathura has stand in this election. Most of the seats are in the favor of Muslim and Dalit. Four seats are reserve for SC. In this condition, it is not so easy to destroy the racism alignment. In reserve seats the condition of BJP is stronger than SP and BSP. The result will be depending on the votes of Non-dalit. In this context, the familiar faces of Hema Malini, Congress Provincial Chairman Raj Babbar and BSP’s Danish Ali will be tested in this election.
West Bangal: 3 seats (Jalpaigudi, Darjeeling, Raygunj)
The strong influence of BJP in Darjeeling, Congress in Rayagunj and TMC in Jalapaigudi in this election region.
Asam: 5 seats (Karimgunj, Silchar, Swashasi zile, Mangaldai, and Naugong)
Silchar and Swashasi have won the election by Congress in 2014. AIUDF had won the election in Karimgunj and BJP in Mangaldai and Naugong. The hard competition in this election is to all the seats. That’s why; BJP has changed a candidate in one of seats in this region. Priyanka Gandhi has organized a cultural show in Silchar. The senior leaders from BJP as Narendra Modi, Amit Shah and others have addressed the people. Except minority, the labors and their family who work in the tea state are play vital role in these five seats.
Maharashtra: 10 seats (Buldhana, Akola, Amarawati, Hingoli, Nanchhed, Parmani, Bid, Usmanabad, Latur, and Solapur)
These ten seats have very different synchronization. It is beleived that Sibasena will won continuously third time from Buldhana, and Sibasena has control in Amarawati from twenty-five years. Sanjay Dhotre had won three time before and BJP has again given him priority and provide ticket this time as well. Solapur is the home town of influential leader of Congress Shushil Kumar Sindhe, though in 2014 he lost due to Modi Victory whim. Latur seat is the heartland of Congress, though BJP is also trying very hard in this area too. BSP is also campaigning in some places as well.
Tamilnadu: 38 seats (Tiruballur, Chainnai North, Chainnai Central, Shree Perumbadur, Kachipuram, Arakkonam, Krishnagiri, Dharmapuri, Tirubannamlai, Arani, Bilupuram, Kallakuruchi, Salem, Namakkal, Irod, Tiruppur, Nilagiri, Koyyambatur, Pollachi, Dindigul, Karur, Tiruchirapalli, Pernbalur, Kuddalor, Chindabaram, Maila-duthurai, Nagapattinam, Thanjabur, Shivaganga, Madurai, Theni, Birudhungar, Ramanathpuram, Thuthukudi, Tenkasi, Tirunelbeli, and Kanyakumari)
Except one seat, all the 37 seats there will be hard competition between AIADMK and DMK. this is the first election without oldest leaders Karuna Nidhi, and Jayalalita. Here is no any influence of BJP and Congress, these both party depend here on AIADMK and DMK. These two parties win and loss depend the central government synchronization. BJP on the side of AIADMK and Congress is on the side of DMK. AIADMK had won 37 seats in 2014 election.
Odisa: 5 seats (Bargadh, Sundargadh, Bolangari, Kandhamal, and Aska, 1 Legislative assembly)
In these five seats BJP and BJD have direct competition. BJP is stronger in city area and BJD is stronger in village area. Here will be the Legislative assembly election as well. BJD has ruled in this region from 19 years and this it is interesting to watch the election result.
Chhatisgadh: 3 seats (Rajnandagaun, Mahasamunda, and Kanker)
The entire three seats had won by the BJP in 2014 election. Chhatisgadh is Naksal affected area as well. In the election, voting rate is lower than previous election. Last year’s December by-election, Congress had huge victory and in this election congress is much more hopeful. BJP has requested the voters on the issue of National Security and Congress on the name of farmers’ issue.
Karnatak: 14 seats (Udipi, Chikamgalur, Hasan, South Kannad, Chitradurga, Tukamur, Mandaya, Maisur, Chamrajnagar, Bangluru Gramin, Bangluru North, Bangluru Central, Bangluru South, Chikkaballapur, and Kolar)
Among these 14 seats, 6-6 seats are on the side of BJP and Congress, though this time Congress and JDS has alignment in this area so the challenge is hard for BJP. Congress will compete in 10 seats and JDS has competed on the rest 4 seats. BJP has competed in 13 seats only.
Observing the first and second phase election BJP is leading with very small no. of seats only.
